Modena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
4 - 0
SIR
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 2
NAP
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACP
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
USA
2 - 2
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |