Modena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
49.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 1
ACM
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEO
47%
22%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAP
20%
19%
61%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |