Modena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
58.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
19%
19%
62%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
22%
20%
58%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 0
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
3 - 1
NAP
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |