Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
MOD
5 - 2
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 0
ANC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2002 |
CTT
1 - 3
MOD
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
2 - 1
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
SLI
67%
20%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |