Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 3
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
USA
0 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACM
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASL
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |