Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |