Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
GEN
6 - 0
MOD
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 2
JUV
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ACM
6 - 0
REG
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ACM
3 - 2
ACL
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |