Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
4 - 0
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NOV
3 - 0
MOD
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 3
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
VNZ
1 - 2
ACM
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |