Modena vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
63%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BRE
3 - 2
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
BRE
4 - 1
ACM
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 2
TOR
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 1
TRI
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 1
ACM
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |