Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ANC
0 - 3
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 2
CTT
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 2
SIE
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 1
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
SAM
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |