Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
UDI
3 - 0
MOD
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
VNZ
1 - 1
MOD
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MES
0 - 3
PIA
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MES
1 - 1
REG
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |