Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 3
USF
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1990 |
LAZ
1 - 3
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
TRI
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
VER
3 - 0
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |