Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 2
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
ACM
5 - 2
MOD
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 3
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
TOR
4 - 0
MES
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |