Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAT
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
VIG
1 - 3
MOD
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
ACM
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |