Modena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
TRE
1 - 1
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
COM
0 - 1
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
MOD
2 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
MOD
4 - 0
VER
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 1
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
MES
2 - 1
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |