Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 2
MOD
56%
27%
18%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 0
ABN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ABN
59%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ASL
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASL
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |