Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
REG
3 - 1
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
ANC
3 - 2
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 1
COS
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
ANC
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
PAD
50%
28%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
UDI
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |