Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 2
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 2
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
SIR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
ASL
3 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 0
SIR
63%
20%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 3
ASL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MES
3 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ASL
1 - 1
FAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |