Modena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOD
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 0
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
39%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASL
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACM
41%
24%
36%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |