Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CTT
2 - 0
MOD
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 2
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABN
0 - 4
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
EMP
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIV
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |