Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
UDI
4 - 1
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 2
FIO
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
4 - 3
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
NAP
4 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
40%
31%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PAD
7 - 5
LIV
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
LIV
0 - 2
NAP
3%
29%
68%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
UDI
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
TAR
0 - 0
LIV
54%
28%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +12 |