Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARZ
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 0
LIV
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |