Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
MOD
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOD
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
VER
2 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
37%
31%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 0
PAL
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |