Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 2
MOD
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAM
48%
22%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 2
LIV
91%
6%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |