Modena vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
75%
15%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACL
3 - 3
LIV
69%
17%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |