Modena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 0
MOD
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 1
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 3
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PIA
3 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 0
ANC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
6 - 2
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
4 - 0
VIC
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |