Modena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAL
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 1
MOD
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 0
USC
59%
27%
14%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 1
LEC
40%
30%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
RIM
0 - 1
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
FCC
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 1
LEC
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |