Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
30.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
2 - 2
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
40%
32%
28%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
46%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
UDI
4 - 1
MOD
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 2
BOL
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
FCC
5 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |