Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
29.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
46%
31%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
39%
33%
28%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 2
MOD
54%
28%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 1
LAZ
51%
30%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAM
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |