Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
44%
34%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
49%
30%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 1
TAR
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAT
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
SOR
0 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
LAZ
31%
33%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PRG
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 1
LAZ
24%
34%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
REG
1 - 0
LAZ
38%
31%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |