Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
MOD
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
TOR
5 - 1
LAZ
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
LAZ
3 - 1
USA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |