Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NOV
3 - 0
MOD
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LAZ
5 - 0
ASL
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ACL
0 - 1
LAZ
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |