Modena vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
41.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 2
USA
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 2
MOD
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 3
LEO
54%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 1
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
25%
22%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
BRE
2 - 0
LAZ
39%
22%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
UNI
0 - 2
LAZ
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |