Modena vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIC
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 1
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 1
INT
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
50%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
1 - 5
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 0
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |