Modena vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOD
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 0
VNZ
36%
25%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
MOD
0 - 0
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 0
JUV
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIC
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SAM
2 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |