Modena vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 0
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 2
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 1
JUV
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |