Modena vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1940 |
CAS
4 - 0
MOD
41%
23%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
GEN
0 - 3
MOD
75%
14%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
MOD
3 - 0
FIO
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
TOR
4 - 3
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
ATL
1 - 3
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
INT
0 - 2
TOR
72%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 0
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |