Modena vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 1
MOD
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 0
ROM
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
4 - 2
MOD
74%
14%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 1
MOD
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
INT
7 - 1
ASL
89%
7%
3%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
TRI
1 - 2
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
INT
5 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 0
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |