Modena vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MOD
2 - 0
RAV
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 0
RIM
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 2
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UAR
0 - 1
IMO
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
IMO
0 - 3
VIC
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 0
IMO
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |