Modena vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
ASS
2 - 0
VER
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
VER
2 - 1
MAN
66%
18%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
2 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 0
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |