Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
29.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
46%
31%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
39%
33%
28%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 2
MOD
54%
28%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CAM
0 - 0
GEN
38%
33%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |