Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
3 - 2
REG
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 2
SAV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 3
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEN
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
CAT
2 - 1
GEN
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
GEN
8 - 1
REG
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
PAL
3 - 1
GEN
37%
31%
31%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |