Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 1
INT
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
GEN
4 - 1
LAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
77%
15%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
CAT
5 - 3
GEN
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |