Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
73%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FIO
8 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
MOD
3 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
INT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
GEN
1 - 2
LAZ
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 4
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
GEN
4 - 3
TOR
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |