Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
FIO
3 - 2
MOD
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
TRI
4 - 1
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
GEN
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAP
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |