Modena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 1
MOD
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
MOD
5 - 2
TOR
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 1
MOD
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 3
ROM
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
3 - 1
LAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
BAR
4 - 2
GEN
21%
20%
58%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
LEO
4 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |