Modena vs Fortis Trani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
34%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VER
5 - 1
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
USA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |