Modena vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
4 - 3
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
NAP
4 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOD
53%
28%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 4
SSS
49%
31%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 0
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
FIO
0 - 1
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |