Modena vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
MOD
2 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
MOD
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
44%
24%
33%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
56%
19%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
INT
4 - 0
FIO
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |