Modena vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
LIV
3 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
FIO
4 - 3
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |